Class 4 Missouri Boys basketball district rankings

If you follow Prep Hoops, you will find a very in-depth and personal analysis of each class by district by esteemed Earl Austin, Jr. with the dope on the top players in each district.  If you don't follow Prep Hoops, you're the dope because you should plunk down a little change for a yearly subscription and get the real nitty gritty about high school and club basketball in the great state of Missouri.  I really don't know how the man and his staff can keep up with all those great ballers, but Earl does and it's always a great read.

What you get here, at my blog, is the superficial, statistical analysis for teams.  It's statistics, and may I remind you what Mark Twain said about Statistics.... "Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics".   So all of my predictions are based upon a paper trail, looking at scores and calculating an algorithm that gives each team a power rating.  The difference is the predicted win margin.  I get to 25 or 30 high school games a year, 100 select 2021 games each year.  Earl must see 10 times that many and he talks to all those great athletes.  Remarkable.

So do him a favor and sign up for Prep Hoops.  www.prephoops.com   and no, he didn't pay me to say this.  LOL

Here's my look at class 4 boys:

CLASS 4 DISTRICT RANKINGS
District 1
No seeding has been posted but the District 1 final could actually be the state championship game (no offense to KC Grandview) as Sikeston faces a tough Cape Central team that they beat by 2 a week ago.  Whomever wins this (most likely Sikeston), will probably face Grandview for the class 4 state championship.
Sikeston High School	133
Central (Cape Girardeau) High School	123
Notre Dame (Cape Girardeau) High School	109
Dexter High School	101
Perryville High School	97
Fredericktown High School	89
Average	117
District 2
Farmington (21-2) is prohibitive favorite and #4 seed St. Gen (14-11) and #2 seed Park Hills Central (14-11) are facing an uphill battle in district 2, but then Farmington has the formidable task of beating an elite and undefeated Sikeston team in section 1.
Farmington High School	115
Ste. Genevieve High School	105
Central (Park Hills) High School	98
North County High School	92
Potosi High School	91
DeSoto High School	87
Average	98
District 3
A balanced inside/outside offensive Hillsboro team (20-6) should outlast a solid #2 seed Lutheran South (14-9).  Hillsboro is a great home team, and, depending on the site, eke by the district 4 champ before being buzz sawed by Sikeston in the quarterfinal.
Hillsboro High School	109
Lutheran South High School	106
Festus High School	98
Rockwood Summit High School	97
Pacific High School	93
Windsor (Imperial) High School	92
Average	99
District 4
St. Mary's (11-12) got the nod for #1 seed but I think, Gateway (13-11), a solid #2 seed wins the ditrict if they can get past an improving Confluence (8-12).
Gateway High School	108
St. Mary's (St. Louis) High School	105
Confluence Prep Academy Charter High School	101
Miller Career Academy High School	97
Roosevelt High School	90
Affton High School	90
Average	99
District 5
This is one of the more competitve districts, and while seeding is not completed for district 5, I expect Ladue (15-7)  as #1 and Priory  (16-6) or Westminster  (14-9)  as #2.  Ladue should move on to a tough sectional matchup with Jennings.
Ladue Horton Watkins High School	114
Westminster Christian Academy High School	108
Priory High School	107
MICDS High School	107
John Burroughs High School	104
Parkway North High School	97
Average	106
District 6 Another competitive district, #1 seed Jennings (14-7) should have no problem in the district 6 finale with #2 seed Hazelwood East (9-11).  Jennings ekes by Ladue in the Sectional. Jennings High School  115 Hazelwood East High School  109 University City High School  108 Normandy Collaborative High School  106 Clayton High School  103 Riverview Gardens High School  102 Average 109
District 7
Seeding should place an athletic McCluer (15-7) as the #1 seed, who should get past St. Dominic (9-14) and St. Charles West (16-7).
McCluer High School	116
St. Dominic High School	108
St. Charles West High School	106
Ft. Zumwalt East High School	103
St. Charles High School	101
Orchard Farm High School	88
Average	104
District 8
An up and down #2 seed St. Francis Borgia  (12-10)  may pull an upset over  #1 seed Hannibal (15-4) but neither will get past McCluer in the sectional game.
St. Francis Borgia High School	109
Hannibal High School	106
Moberly High School	92
Kirksville High School	90
Warrenton High School	88
Mexico High School	74
Average	93
District 9
Warrensburg should be the #1 seed and should hand this district 9 field along with at least a sectional win vs. the district 10 champion and maybe one more againt Webb City or Logan-Rogersville before falling to Grandview.
Warrensburg High School	109
Helias Catholic High School	103
Fulton High School	97
Boonville High School	95
Marshall High School	93
Osage High School	84
Average	97
District 10
Sullivan (17-6) and Union (15-7) should go down to the final horn in this district finale but don't expect either to make a run past the sectional game.
Union High School	103
Sullivan High School	103
Rolla High School	94
St. Clair High School	90
Salem High School	87
Owensville High School	71
Average	91
District 11
West Plains (19-4) lost to Logan-Rogersville (19-5) by 20 during the regular season.  Logan-Rogersville should take districts easily but will have a tough game vs. Webb City at Sectionals.
Logan-Rogersville High School	109
West Plains High School	96
Reeds Spring High School	93
Marshfield High School	91
Aurora High School	87
Hillcrest High School	80
Average	93
District 12
Webb City's record (13-8) includes some tough losses to class 5 teams but none to these district  teams.  No problem here for the Cardinals.
Webb City High School	112
Neosho High School	95
Carl Junction High School	92
Cassville High School	86
Monett High School	85
McDonald County High School	73
Average	90
District 13
Grandview KC (19-2) only losses were to outstanding Fort Osage and Lawrence KS large school teams.  Grandview will go to the state final and has the potential to wreck Sikeston's perfect season.
Grandview High School	122
Nevada High School	110
Bolivar High School	108
Center High School	103
Harrisonville High School	89
Pleasant Hill High School	83
Average	103
District 14
#1 seed Raytown South  (14-8) will have a battle with Oak Grove in the district final.  Grandview eliminates this champion in the sectional game.
Raytown South High School	116
Oak Grove High School	112
Kearney High School	99
Odessa High School	82
Excelsior Springs High School	70
Van Horn High School	68
Average	91
District 15
KC Southeast (18-5) should easily take this district as they have already defeated East and Northeast by 20+ points in several match-ups.  Whether they can make a run in the state bracket vs. Grandview/Raytown South winner, remains to be seen.
Southeast High School	113
Northeast (Kansas City) High School	111
East (Kansas City) High School	99
Pembroke Hill High School	90
Lincoln College Prep High School	86
Guadalupe Centers Charter High School	37
Average	89
District 16
A down year for district 16, Lafayette St. Joseph (12-7) has edged Platte County (6-16) by 2 earlier in the year.  Can they do it twice?  Platte County could pulll an upset but none of the district 16 teams can compete with Southeast in Sectionals.
Lafayette (St. Joseph) High School	102
Platte County High School	100
Savannah High School	91
Winnetonka High School	90
Benton High School	88
Smithville High School	78
Average	91