Thursday, November 1, 2018

2018-2019 St. Louis Area Boys Basketball - Returnees analysis


I wasted away some time this past week looking at the new league setups and how teams are shaping up during the tryouts this month.  I am sure every high school coach has their hands full looking at who is back, how to replace their departed seniors and scoring leaders, finding a good team chemistry and producing a well-oiled basketball team.  It has to be a tremendous challenge every year but also a very rewarding one.

Listed below are the four new conferences and the other conferences that have not changed.  I have included my last power rating for each team from last March, their final 2017-2018 record and then looked at several aspects of the returning players..... number coming back, percent of last years team, percent of the scoring that is returning and the average height of the returnees.

I will be running my algorithm on the power ratings again this year but it would be interesting to see how this year's rating goes in relationship to the returnee information.  I don't have a good enough handle on it to predict how teams will look so I will hold off until mid-December before starting the rankings again.

It seems like having about 50% returnees and 50% scoring is a good ratio.  Some teams lost a lot of starters and scoring, so it will be interesting to see how they reload.


St. Louis Area Boys Basketball - A Look at Returnees 2018-2019
Yellow Pool 2017-2018 Record # % % Avg
2018 Rating Wins Losses  Returnees Return Scoring Hgt(")
Haz. Cent 124 22 7 3 21% 35% 74.0
Jennings 116 8 13 8 62% 34% 74.1
Lafayette 112 15 12 8 57% 51% 73.9
Marquette 115 18 10 12 80% 48% 73.6
Parkway South 114 12 14 8 57% 28% 74.6
Ritenour 77 10 16 8 57% 23% 72.6
Web. Groves 105 18 9 12 80% 51% 73.8
averages 109 15 12 8 59% 39% 74
Red Pool 2017-2018 Record # % % Avg
2018 Rating Wins Losses  Returnees Return Scoring Hgt(")
Eureka 116 18 9 9 56% 39% 74.3
Kirkwood 110 15 12 10 77% 73% 73.6
Lindbergh 107 12 16 12 86% 84% 74.1
McCluer 108 7 21 14 93% 84% 73.1
McCluer North 109 14 12 11 79% 88% 73.4
Parkway Central 121 24 6 7 54% 24% 73.3
Parkway West 102 7 19 9 56% 27% 71.9
Pattonville 116 8 13 8 53% 32% 71.9
Ladue 115 18 10 8 67% 54% 74.4
averages 111 14 13 10 69% 56% 73
Green Pool 2017-2018 Record # % % Avg
2018 Rating Wins Losses  Returnees Return Scoring Hgt(")
Hazelwood East 109 18 9 9 69% 66% 71.9
Hazelwood West 101 10 16 12 67% 50% 72.8
Mehlville 97 9 17 9 64% 55% 73.7
MSB 103 11 15 13 76% 60% 69.2
Oakville 101 11 15 11 73% 49% 72.8
Riverview 111 14 9 10 91% 86% 73.0
Summit 98 9 17 11 79% 65% 73.9
averages 103 12 14 11 74% 62% 72
Blue Pool 2017-2018 Record # % % Avg
2018 Rating Wins Losses  Returnees Return Scoring Hgt(")
Affton 77 4 20 11 73% 88% 73.9
Clayton 95 6 20 9 64% 47% 70.8
Normandy 77 4 20 8 57% 31% 72.9
Northwest 79 1 24 6 38% 21% 72.0
Parkway North 98 9 17 9 82% 86% 72.1
Seckman 87 6 16 7 50% 32% 71.4
U-City 97 6 19 12 86% 87% 72.1
Fox 88 8 18 9 53% 21% 72.9
averages 87 6 19 9 63% 52% 72
2017-2018 Record # % % Avg
2018 Rating Wins Losses  Returnees Return Scoring Hgt(")
Francis Howell 122 25 4 9 75% 82% 73.3
Troy Buchanan 107 17 10 8 57% 50% 71.9
Fort Zumwalt West 107 15 12 8 62% 44% 74.0
Francis Howell Central 104 8 18 11 79% 92% 72.8
Timberland 100 8 18 5 42% 45% 73.8
Francis Howell North 102 4 20 11 73% 57% 72.1
averages 107 13 14 9 65% 61% 73
2017-2018 Record # % % Avg
2018 Rating Wins Losses  Returnees Return Scoring Hgt(")
Fort Zumwalt South 108 24 5 8 50% 31% 72.3
Liberty (Wentzville) 114 20 9 7 54% 42% 73.6
Fort Zumwalt East 95 13 13 11 73% 33% 72.0
Holt 104 13 14 8 57% 22% 73.4
Washington 48 10 16 6 50% 36% 73.8
Fort Zumwalt North 89 6 20 11 73% 60% 72.5
averages 93 14 13 9 60% 37% 73
2017-2018 Record # % % Avg
2018 Rating Wins Losses  Returnees Return Scoring Hgt(")
Chaminade 133 25 5 8 57% 48% 75.6
Vianney 112 15 12 9 64% 30% 72.1
CBC 123 13 14 13 72% 72% 73.3
SLUH 114 12 14 9 60% 74% 71.8
De Smet 105 7 19 11 85% 55% 73.4
averages 117 14 13 10 68% 56% 73
2017-2018 Record # % % Avg
2018 Rating Wins Losses  Returnees Return Scoring Hgt(")
St. Mary's 130 27 4 8 50% 21% 74.9
Duchesne 112 18 9 5 36% 5% 74.4
Borgia 106 13 14 8 62% 33% 73.5
St. Dominic 96 12 15 13 87% 75% 72.9
averages 111 18 11 9 58% 34% 74
2017-2018 Record # % % Avg
2018 Rating Wins Losses  Returnees Return Scoring Hgt(")
Trinity 122 21 4 11 92% 97% 73.7
O'Fallon Christian 110 20 10 11 79% 50% #DIV/0!
Cardinal Ritter 110 18 10 14 88% 84% 72.4
DuBourg 84 9 16 9 69% 44% 71.7
Lutheran St. Charles 81 3 23 11 73% 53% #DIV/0!
averages 101 14 13 11 80% 66% #DIV/0!

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