Monday, March 11, 2019

Class 4 State Predictions

Class 4 Boys semis and final basketball games will not have as much suspense as the class five games if Grandview has anything to say about it, and they have been saying a lot this year with the way they have played.

Here's how they rank right now going into the semi-final round this coming week:
Team                    Season Rating            Back Half Rating
St. Mary's                 114                              120
Ladue                       115                              119

Logan-Rogersville   113                              116
Grandview               124                              127

Looking at the St. Mary's and Ladue Semi-final game, both teams started slow this season and have come on strong in the back half.  The two teams will play contrasting styles and it will be interesting to see if Ladue can keep the play at their pace or if it suits St. Mary's more.  I will take St. Mary's here by 10.  They will get Ladue out of their controlled pace and run the Greyhounds ragged.

Grandview has been dominating most teams and it will be no different for the Wildcats from Logan-Rogersville who have also started slow and come on stronger in the second half.  While playing better each month, L-R is at least a 10 to 15 point underdog to the Bulldogs.

That sets up a final with the Dragons and the Bulldogs.  The Dragons have never won a state title.  Grandview won in 2017.

Look for the Bulldogs to win their second by 5 in an exciting final.

Grandview.....  2019 Class 4 State Champs.


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